Free Weekly UK Technical Analysis 13/04/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.

N.B. Currently FireFox does not support Google Drive and therefore these reports may not open.

This Week's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/folderview?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfnFpOVFMZlljaDRBSVNaTzEtZURmVlg4QlFKSkN6WExqMUJRczBBMGdUVU0&usp=sharing

How to use these reports:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 10/04/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.

N.B. Currently FireFox does not support Google Drive and therefore these reports may not open.

Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfnd3ckMyQUtub1B6OU1CS3hvTmVyZXIya2dBWUZjZzNvNGRZWXVCeGdtS0k&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 08/04/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.

N.B. Currently FireFox does not support Google Drive and therefore these reports may not open.

Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfnMtRURPOWZVQlluT1FHQ2NaVnJPR1RFQ0NYV1UwOFBhNXNlUHF6TlRJRFE&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 01/04/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.

N.B. Currently FireFox does not support Google Drive and therefore these reports may not open.

Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfkxvNVFLTW5KZWdWbVVVMHlzTjlKV1VDaE5VcnZvSTJqSjFmeWZqeGdLQXM&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 06/03/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.


Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfmFseEZmbWdDdmNkMExRMlFZQ2xpTlozMDl4X3gtN1BuZ2EzbGZHc2hVVnc&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

• http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

• More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 05/03/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.


Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfjF3VXRlQ2p4dU1ZVzZxak1lenJIeXctZEdRRVFEa1ZoZXgwci1aekJwZ00&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

• http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

• More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 04/03/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.


Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfmcyeURobmdUTDdmeS1UREtUV3N0cDBtVDQ3Q1NpeHhPWVJkQ3oyX1BMS0k&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

• http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

• More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 03/03/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.


Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfjBPQWtvSTZubHd4bjFzQ2E4NTc5eng1d2t6REUtYm9SY2hiNXV6eG8wMXM&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

• This system is currently based around Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) that are based around the principals of Fibonacci numbers. These are used alongside a Slow Stochastic Oscillator (SSO) to create buy and sell signals, which are given numbers based upon their strengths.

• Over time, I adjust the stochastic coefficients and the weightings of the moving averages to create more reliable results during my back testing (for my use), but to also make the system more reliable generally.

• Attached in the linked folder will be a file called "buysignallers.txt" and "sell signallers.txt", which can both be used to show the position of a stock against the others that are analysed. This is where you will find the total signal strengths for stocks.

• It is worth noting that not all stocks and shares may load or process due to where the program gets its data from and some stocks with share prices below 0.10p will currently not analyse properly.

• These reports are all made up of a list of signals and comments and the data for these are taken daily. E.G. Today's signals use yesterday's closing stock prices - given in pence, not pounds! 

• The "signals" show the fibonacci SMAs that crossover and or any slow stochastic notifications.

• The "comments" show the value of the said SMA with the value of the previous day shown in brackets.

e.g. 

# Signals

Sell - 24.802226076843513707865168540 - 34 crossed 144

# Comments

SMA 3 - 25.50 (25.50)

SMA 5 - 25.50 (25.50)

• More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Technical Analysis and Charts

Good morning.


One question that's thrown around the internet a lot is: "To what extent can technical analysis (TA) predict the next few day's price action?"


In cases where no abnormal price action has been seen in the global markets or within the underlying equity, technical analysis often does a very good job of indicating future price action. Obviously, it falls back in accuracy when the underlying fundamentals of the company change.


Therefore, we shall use Lloyds as short case study:


1. Lloyds bank is reasonably high beta compared to the FTSE 100 and therefore would be a popular share amongst day traders using CFDs and spread bets.


2. Although Lloyds shares are subject to changes in the wider banking sector, for the best part they don't change very suddenly from a fundamental perspective.


How we can use ''chartology'' and TA:


1. In my opinion, when trying to predict the next few day's price action you would be better off looking at the thirty minute graph settings and when trying to predict the next couple of week's price action you're better off using a daily chart.

2. My chart set up for Lloyds (thirty minute chart):

https://www.google.co.uk/finance?chdnp=1&chdd=0&chds=0&chdv=1&chvs=Linear&chdeh=0&chfdeh=0&chdet=1402826707143&chddm=61320&chddi=86400&chls=CandleStick&q=LON%3ALLOY&ntsp=0&fct=big&ei=0m-dU5DCBOr2wAOyr4EY


3. This chart set up has a few advantages to merely looking at simple price signals, as it has three longer term indicators (MACD, RSI and CCI) and one short term indicator (KDJ).


In the case of Lloyds over the time period shown on the graph (Monday 2nd to Friday 13th of June) you could have made approximately  two and a half to three pence per share profit having bought based on the bullish TA shown on late Tuesday or Early Wednesday with a sell point on late Friday or early Monday.


4. The signal you would have looked for:

- The cross over of the MACD line over the EMA on late Tuesday.

- The RSI line crossing fifty on Wednesday morning.

- The CCI moving over zero on Wednesday morning.

- The sharp KDJ change on late Tuesday.


If you were more cautious, than you would have waited for all of these to confirm a bullish signal, however you could have gone with merely the KDJ change on late Tuesday and then used the confirmation or denial of a bullish sign on the other indicators to make a decision to hold that position of sell it.


The strong buying into the close on Tuesday would have also been a bullish signal for the opening on Wednesday.


Good luck,

The Masked AIM Trader.