Free UK Technical Analysis 31/03/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.

N.B. Currently FireFox does not support Google Drive and therefore these reports may not open.

Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfklaSldoYWR6aGZ2SU8xbzZDUjlMdnlSbzU0MEVsT25nOFhPRDZtY1FtTGc&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 30/03/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.

N.B. Currently FireFox does not support Google Drive and therefore these reports may not open.

Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfkpBWW1PTl85NENjakJGcVVhWWVGT1g2Y1JSS3JVTkRaRkI3QXdiQXdGc3c&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/technical-analysis-instructions.html

More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

Free UK Technical Analysis 03/03/2015

DISCLAIMER: I am not FCA authorised or authorised in any sense to give financial advice. Do not regard any of the following links, or information as investment or trading advice.


Today's Analyses:

https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B0wd9XTIWftmfjBPQWtvSTZubHd4bjFzQ2E4NTc5eng1d2t6REUtYm9SY2hiNXV6eG8wMXM&authuser=0

How to use these reports:

• This system is currently based around Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) that are based around the principals of Fibonacci numbers. These are used alongside a Slow Stochastic Oscillator (SSO) to create buy and sell signals, which are given numbers based upon their strengths.

• Over time, I adjust the stochastic coefficients and the weightings of the moving averages to create more reliable results during my back testing (for my use), but to also make the system more reliable generally.

• Attached in the linked folder will be a file called "buysignallers.txt" and "sell signallers.txt", which can both be used to show the position of a stock against the others that are analysed. This is where you will find the total signal strengths for stocks.

• It is worth noting that not all stocks and shares may load or process due to where the program gets its data from and some stocks with share prices below 0.10p will currently not analyse properly.

• These reports are all made up of a list of signals and comments and the data for these are taken daily. E.G. Today's signals use yesterday's closing stock prices - given in pence, not pounds! 

• The "signals" show the fibonacci SMAs that crossover and or any slow stochastic notifications.

• The "comments" show the value of the said SMA with the value of the previous day shown in brackets.

e.g. 

# Signals

Sell - 24.802226076843513707865168540 - 34 crossed 144

# Comments

SMA 3 - 25.50 (25.50)

SMA 5 - 25.50 (25.50)

• More information regarding this project can be found here:

http://themaskedstocktrader.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/my-experience-with-quantitative-finance.html

One of my biggest mistakes.

Good morning again,


I'm writing this with one eye on a live graph on my other monitor, so I apologise in advance for any awful spelling, punctuation and or grammar issues.


Probably the worst trade to date that I have ever made was in a company called Armadale Capital. Without going into excessive detail, they invest in other companies within the natural resources sectors, such as Mine Restoration Investments in South Africa along with a few others.


My mistake here was failing to do a full check on the board of directors and also forgetting that the sector is very slow to evolve. It's because of this that I've added to my trading rules the following line: "Do not invest in the natural resources sector - it will take you an age to get your money back".


My failings to profitably trade this company doesn't mean that the company is bad. In fact, it has many aspects that I think are great: the low cost Mpokoto Gold Project in the Democratic Republic of Congo and the low cost fine processing and recycling plant that's a branch of Mine Restoration Investments. I made the mistake of thinking that some quick number crunching from me and a realisation of a distinct difference between the value and price after doing this would make the share price soar.


The share price didn't soar - in fact it fell almost 35% and I closed out that position with a hefty loss (for a nineteen year old).


I think that for me what caused the downwards pressure in the share price was that the Board of Directors had a tendency to release "media updates" that in hindsight were effectively unable to tell shareholders anything new. This combines with their very high salaries gave the impression to shareholders that they weren't pulling their weight properly. I felt like even more of a tit after this trade because I had been given a warning about the board of directors before - albeit on an internet forum.


I learnt a lot from this position:


1. Look for proof of a good consistent board of directors - emailing them first about something arbitrary and seeing if they reply is often a good indicator.


2. Natural resources are a slow evolving area and you'll find it hard to make profits actively trading these companies (although doubtless many people do).


Good luck trading,

The Masked AIM Trader